Step 1: Know Your Retirement Number

Before calculating how to get there, you need to know where "there" is. The most widely used rule is the 4% Rule (also called the "safe withdrawal rate"): in retirement, you can withdraw 4% of your portfolio each year with a high probability of your money lasting 30+ years.

Retirement Number = Annual Expenses Γ· 0.04
Annual Retirement SpendingRetirement Number (4% Rule)
$40,000/year ($3,333/mo)$1,000,000
$60,000/year ($5,000/mo)$1,500,000
$80,000/year ($6,667/mo)$2,000,000
$100,000/year ($8,333/mo)$2,500,000

Step 2: Project Your Growth with Compound Interest

Adjust the inputs to match your current savings, expected return, and monthly contribution. The calculator shows year by year whether you're on track for your retirement number.

Benchmark: Retirement Savings by Age

Fidelity recommends these savings milestones (as a multiple of your annual salary):

AgeTarget SavingsExample ($75k salary)
301Γ— salary$75,000
352Γ— salary$150,000
403Γ— salary$225,000
454Γ— salary$300,000
506Γ— salary$450,000
557Γ— salary$525,000
608Γ— salary$600,000
67 (retirement)10Γ— salary$750,000

The Impact of Starting Early vs. Late

$1.14MStart at 25, retire at 65 ($400/mo, 7%)
$472kStart at 35, retire at 65 ($400/mo, 7%)
10 yrsDelay that costs $671k

Recommended Retirement Savings Order

  1. Emergency fund first β€” 3–6 months of expenses in a high-yield savings account before investing

  2. 401(k) to the employer match β€” free money, instant 50–100% return on those dollars

  3. Max Roth IRA β€” $7,000/year of tax-free compounding is too good to pass up

  4. Back to 401(k) β€” continue up to the $23,500 annual limit

  5. Taxable brokerage β€” once tax-advantaged accounts are maxed

Frequently Asked Questions

The 4% rule originated from William Bengen's 1994 research showing a 4% withdrawal rate historically lasted 30+ years through all market conditions. Some advisors now suggest 3.3–3.5% given lower bond yields and longer lifespans. However, 4% remains a solid planning benchmark β€” if markets outperform, you can spend more; if they underperform, adjust spending down.
Common assumptions: 7% for a diversified stock portfolio (S&P 500 long-run real return), 5–6% for a balanced 60/40 portfolio, 3–4% for bonds. Many planners use 6% to be conservative without being overly pessimistic. Always run your numbers at both 5% and 8% to see the range of possible outcomes.
It's never too late, but the strategy shifts. If you're 40–50, maximize 401(k) contributions (use catch-up contributions at 50+), reduce expenses to increase the savings rate, and consider working a few extra years β€” even 2–3 extra years of work dramatically reduces the portfolio required to retire comfortably. Social Security at 70 instead of 62 also increases benefits by ~76%.

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